I’ve made my picks for the U.S. men’s Olympic figure skating team, and now it’s time for the ladies. Unfortunately, the American ladies were underwhelming on the Grand Prix this year, and didn’t have anyone in the Final, an important tier 1 selection criteria. Nationals is going to carry extra weight for all of them.
A reminder of the three tiers of selection criteria from U.S. Figure Skating, via Phil Hersh:
- Ashley Wagner
While Ashley has had a bit of a bumpy road since the end of the Grand Prix series last year, she is still the leading U.S. lady in my mind. She’ll be putting out a new (old) free skate at Nationals, her original “La La Land” program, choreographed over the summer and then scrapped at Champs Camp. In 2014, she put together a new (old) free skate to “Samson and Delilah” and skated it clean in Sochi, so I have faith that a little extra pressure and excitement will bring out her fight and motivation.This title is hers to lose, and she said as much when she withdrew during the long program at Skate America. She needs it to check a tier 1 box, after missing this year’s Grand Prix Final and the subpar finish at Worlds last year. Plus, she didn’t compete in any events that fit tier 3, and only has her Skate Canada bronze for tier 2 credit. Anything off the podium at Nationals will put her in major jeopardy, but a fourth U.S. title would be an excellent statement to the selection committee. Here’s to the ones who dream, right?
- Mirai Nagasu
Even though Mirai had some iffy results on the Grand Prix, she is looking more fit, strong, and confident this year than she ever has. Earning a 2018 Olympic spot would be sweet redemption for her after missing the 2014 team (which was the right call, and let’s not redo that conversation, guys). Her gumption in trying the triple axel and pushing herself to be a better skater, 10 years after she first won a U.S. Senior National Championship, is impressive and inspiring. Her bronze at last year’s Four Continents Championships checks a tier 2 box, while she earned a silver on the Challenger Series this year for tier 3. Imagine if she won a second U.S. title in 2018, 10 years after her first in 2008? The NBC promos people would be ALL over that, as would the loyal Mirai fans.
3. Bradie Tennell
I’ve been calling this one since November, people. Though Bradie only competed in one Grand Prix event, she grabbed a bronze medal and the highest international score of any of the U.S. ladies this season. She’s been skating consistently and calmly at competitions since the summer and has really solid jumps. Her artistry might not match the likes of Ashley Wagner, but her consistency is unparalleled in the current U.S. field. She needs to have a strong Nationals to cement an Olympic spot, but I think she can do it.
Dark Horse: Karen Chen
It’s really tough to imagine leaving Karen Chen off the Olympic team, since her 4th place finish at Worlds last year clinched the three spots for the U.S. ladies. But that said, she hasn’t had a strong outing at a major event since Worlds and Nationals last year, and those were her only strong events of that season (granted, it’s pretty ideal to save your best stuff for the biggest events of the year, but still). Switching her free skate four times since the summer certainly hasn’t helped matters, and she has also gone back to last year’s short program. Both were signature pieces for her, and maybe the comfort level with those programs will lead to a strong showing at Nationals. If she defends her title, she should go to Pyeongchang. Anything other than that leaves a question mark in my mind.
Tough Call: Mariah Bell
I absolutely adore Mariah’s skating, and when her jumps are on, they are excellent. This is not the first time that I’ve typed on this blog that her “East of Eden” free skate made me tear up at 2016 Skate America. She has great personality on the ice. But unfortunately, she hasn’t capitalized on last year’s momentum and had a difficult Grand Prix. Unless she blows everyone away at Nationals, it seems like an uphill battle for her to make the Olympic team. She had a rough outing at 2017 Worlds, which is a tier 1 criteria. She was 6th at Four Continents last year, with a career-best short, so that could gain her some points in the tier 2 category. I’ll be rooting for her to put it all together at Nationals.
Next up: pairs and ice dance!